Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

An economic indicator that has accurately predicted every recession for seven decades is flashing warning signs for 2026, ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3 ...

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic ...

The Treasury Bond market went into convulsions last month following the “Liberation Day” announcement of broad new high-tariff policies (April 2). Because Treasurys play such an important role in the ...

The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.

Falling interest rates and growing GDP might not save us.

Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.