Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

Talks of a “looming recession” have almost disappeared in the past two years due to the market rally looking unbeatable, but one is going to happen eventually, and it can take you by surprise. What if ...

An economic indicator that has accurately predicted every recession for seven decades is flashing warning signs for 2026, ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Analyzing critical junctures in the economy and markets to determine if a recession is imminent. Covers GDP, unemployment, yield curve, and more.

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

AGNC Investment Corp. benefits from a steepening yield curve, falling repo costs, and agency MBS safety. Click for this updated look at AGNC and why I'm bullish.

The Treasury Bond market went into convulsions last month following the “Liberation Day” announcement of broad new high-tariff policies (April 2). Because Treasurys play such an important role in the ...