It’s estimated that human adults make about 35,000 decisions a day — the percentage of good decisions depends on the adult. These choices can be as banal as deciding to roll or crumple toilet paper or ...

Last month I reviewed the excellent book, Superforecasting by Dan Gardner and Philip E. Tetlock. Now while we can’t predict the future, we certainly can create a model for the probability of an event ...

Bayes' theorem, also called Bayes' rule or Bayesian theorem, is a mathematical formula used to determine the conditional probability of events. The theorem uses the power of statistics and probability ...